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2024-12-13 16:46:25

After the emergency martial law storm, South Korea's financial industry suffered successively. After the emergency martial law storm in South Korea, South Korea's financial industry suffered successively, and the stock market fluctuated obviously. This week, it began to rebound slightly. South Korean media pointed out that the uncertainty of South Korea's political situation may put its international reputation under downward pressure. South Korea's Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Planning and Finance, Choe Sang-mu, held an "emergency macroeconomic and financial symposium" on the 10th to discuss the dynamics of the financial and foreign exchange markets and the countermeasures. According to South Korea's Chosun Ilbo reported on the 9th, after the emergency martial law storm, the total market value of South Korea's stock market evaporated by 58 trillion won within three days, and more than 400 billion US dollars of foreign exchange reserves were also threatened. As the political struggle of "impeaching the president" continues, not only finance, but also retail, alcohol, real estate, semiconductor export and other aspects of the Korean economy have also felt the chill. South Korean media believe that if financial instability and the stagnation of the real economy, the economy may fall into crisis sharply. According to the "Foreign Securities Investment Trends in November" released by the Korea Financial Supervisory Authority on the 10th, foreign investors sold 4.154 trillion won in the Korean securities market last month and sold Korean shares for four consecutive months. South Korea's "Asia Daily" said on the 10th that as South Korea re-entered the presidential impeachment time, the uncertainty intensified, and it is expected that the net selling behavior of foreign investors will continue. Although South Korea's stock market rebounded on the 10th, the uncertainty of the political situation put its international reputation under downward pressure. South Korea's Chosun Ilbo published a commentary on the 10th, saying that Fitch and Moody's, among the world's three major credit rating agencies, have successively warned that if the storm after martial law is prolonged, South Korea's national credit rating may be negatively affected. (CCTV)The Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024. On the afternoon of December 10th, the Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024 to sort out and summarize the latest progress, existing problems and difficulties in the implementation of cleaner production in 2024, study the key tasks in 2025, and promote the completion of the objectives and tasks of the Tenth Five-Year Plan.Polls show that the support rate of Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao's cabinet has dropped to 26.8%. According to a report by the Japan News Agency on the 12th local time, the poll conducted by the agency in December showed that the support rate of Shi Pomao's cabinet was 26.8%, down 1.9 percentage points from last month. (CCTV News)


Alleged of tax evasion, Adidas' German headquarters was raided for two days in a row. On December 11th, local time, criminal prosecutors and customs investigators raided Adidas' German headquarters for the second day in a row, which was an escalation of years of investigation on the sports brand's alleged tax evasion. The amount of tax evasion may exceed 1.1 billion euros. The European Prosecutor's Office (EPPO), headquartered in Luxembourg, said on the 11th that it was conducting a "criminal investigation" against a German sportswear trading enterprise group on the grounds that it was "suspected of tax evasion related to customs duties and import and sales taxes". Adidas said that this long-term investigation is unlikely to have "any significant financial impact".The downtime lasted more than 4 hours, and the failure of ChatGPT and Sora services has been fully repaired. On the afternoon of December 12, Beijing time, OpenAI updated the accident report and said that API, ChatGPT and Sora services have now fully resumed operation. Earlier today, OpenAI confirmed that ChatGPT, its chat robot, experienced a worldwide downtime, and Sora and API were also affected. It is understood that the fault lasted about 4 hours and 10 minutes. OpenAI said that it will conduct a comprehensive root cause analysis of this failure.Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.


The Korea Composite Index closed up 1.60%.Enterprise IT Expenditure Survey: Google Cloud is expected to be the first choice for 50% of the respondents. Tae Kim, a science and technology columnist, wrote that according to a recent survey, Google Cloud has risen rapidly in the enterprise AI expenditure competition and may become the winner. According to the 2025 CIO survey released by Piper Sandler, 81 CIOs were asked about their budget priorities in different suppliers and technical fields. According to the survey, 87% of CIOs surveyed expect to increase the IT budget in 2025, which is the highest proportion of the survey since 2020. In this survey, the status of Google Cloud has risen significantly, surpassing Microsoft and OpenAI to become the "most strategic" AI supplier, with a support rate of 27%, a significant increase from 15% six months ago. Relatively speaking, Microsoft's support rate dropped from 33% to 24%. When asked which cloud company they plan to use to test or implement AI projects next year, 50% of the respondents chose Google Cloud, making it the top AI infrastructure provider. In addition, Harsh Kumar, a Piper semiconductor analyst, pointed out that these results are also beneficial to Invista, because all cloud companies are the main buyers of AI chips in NVIDIA. Kumar estimates that the entire AI chip market will have more than $500 billion in business opportunities by 2028.Huachuang Securities: It was first rated as "recommended" by Zangge Mining, with a target price of 33.3 yuan. Huachuang Securities Research Report pointed out that Zangge Mining (000408.SZ) is an important producer of potassium lithium salt and copper in China, with a high dividend return to shareholders. The company actively arranges high-quality potash resources at home and abroad: three major projects, namely, Heibei potash mine in Dalangtan, Alkali-Shishan potash mine and the eastern part of deep brine potash mine in Xiaoliangshan-Dafengshan area, are steadily promoted in China, with a total exploration right of 1,400 square kilometers; Overseas has signed a potash exploration agreement with Laos. At present, the exploration report and potash mine reserve certificate have been obtained. It is estimated that the total amount of potassium chloride resources in Setani County and Ba 'e County is 984 million tons. It is estimated that the output of the first phase of potassium chloride project will be 1 million tons/year, and the scale of potassium chloride production is expected to double in the future. The company is an important manufacturer of potassium and lithium in China, and Julong Copper is expected to inject strong kinetic energy into the company's growth. Considering that Mamicho Mining has not been consolidated at present, it is estimated that the company will realize a net profit of 25.0/27.7/4.29 billion yuan in 24-26 years, which is -27%, +11% and +54.9% respectively. In 2025, it can be compared with the company's average valuation of 19 times, giving the company a valuation of 19 times in 2025, corresponding to the target price of 33.3 yuan, covering for the first time and giving a "recommended" rating.

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